History
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The economist as an expert: a prince, a servant or a citizen?
Feb 8, 2017
In his contribution to our ongoing series “Experts on Trial”, Alessandro Roncaglia argues that viewing economists as princes or servants of power is inherently authoritarian. We should instead see the economist as a socially and politically engaged citizen
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Why Greenspan Knew, But Didn’t Act
Feb 8, 2017
Mallaby’s research shows that Greenspan knew more about the looming perils than people realize.
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Zero Interest Rates in EU: The Myth of the Poor German Saver
Feb 7, 2017
Panic over the impact on German savers of low interest rates and looming inflation neglects to mention that very few Germans are saving much
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'People Have Had Enough of Experts'
Feb 6, 2017
As part of our ongoing symposium “Experts on Trial”, Professor Sheila Dow argues that if voters have grown contemptuous of economists’ expertise, that’s because economics has been misrepresented as a technical subject separate from politics and moral judgments
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Adair Turner on the Liquidity Risks of ETFs
Feb 5, 2017
Turner discusses The Economist’s Society the liquidity risks posed by Exchange Traded Funds.
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Is Inequality a Political Choice?
Feb 3, 2017
Research by INET-affiliated scholars shows the US lags far behind its peers on inclusive growth, suggesting inequality is not an inevitable consequence of globalization and technology
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Three Economic Surprises to Watch for in 2017
Feb 2, 2017
Institute Governing Board member Anatole Kaletsky argues that the Trump Administration’s policies will boost inflation and spur interest-hikes as well as a stronger dollar more rapidly than many expect, but that the European Union’s economy is on the mend
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To Save Capitalism, Make it Work for Average Folks
Feb 1, 2017
Smick argues that distortions of capitalism have fed populist rebellion, and that reviving a capitalism that offers opportunity for average people to increase their earnings is an urgent priority if America’s political economy is to be stabilized.
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China’s Economic Management at the Beginning of the Trump Era: Turbulence Ahead or Steady-As-You-Go
Feb 1, 2017 | 06:00—07:30
A discussion on China’s economic management at the beginning of the Trump era featuring Leland R. Miller, Co-founder and CEO of the China Beige Book.
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The evolution of capitalism – history, law, and economics compared
YSI
DiscussionJan 30–Jun 19, 2017
This study group aims to reflect on international economic growth, sustainable development and the evolution of economic thinking around capitalism and enterprise through the analysis of a selected multidisciplinary bibliography.
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History and Sociology of Emerging Markets
YSI
DiscussionJan 26–May 4, 2017
A Speaker Series for the Greater Philadelphia Region
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Brunnermeier: Europe’s Future Will Be Settled By a Battle of Ideas
Jan 25, 2017
A conflict which revolves around key economic policy differences on questions such as rules vs. discretion, solidarity vs. liability, liquidity vs. solvency and austerity vs. stimulus.
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Trumping Capitalism?
Jan 24, 2017
Donald Trump’s presidency is a symptom of an interregnum between economic orders – a period that will result in a new balance between state and market. While his administration’s economic policies are unlikely to provide the right answer, they may at least show the world what not to do.
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Johnson: Elites Eying the Exits Signals America's Crisis
Jan 23, 2017
Institute President Rob Johnson interviewed by the New Yorker on hedge-fund managers and the market for air strips in New Zealand
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Why Economists Should Think of Themselves as Plumbers
Jan 23, 2017
From physicists to engineers to meds to plumbers: thoughts on Esther Duflo’s ASSA 2017 lecture on rediscovering the last art of economics
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Institutional Responses to Financial Crises, 1870 to 2017 Webinar Series
YSI
DiscussionJan 23–Apr 3, 2017
The YSI Economic History Working Group and the YSI Financial Stability Working Group are hosting a webinar series on the “Institutional Responses to Financial Crises, 1870 to 2017”.
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Remembering Tony Atkinson as the Architect of Modern Public Economics
Jan 19, 2017
Beatrice Cherrier remembers Tony Atkinson’s influential intellectual, educational and institutional contribution to the field of public economics
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The Jobs Legacy of the Obama Presidency
Jan 19, 2017
Viewed in historical context, the weak recovery from the 2008 crisis has been slow and painful, but a sub-5% unemployment rate and healthy job and wage growth will be among the most important legacies Obama leaves to the next president
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The Economics of the Affordable Care Act
Jan 17, 2017
Any effort to replace the Affordable Care Act will be confronted by the same structural imbalances in the health care economy that the legislation’s authors faced
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Conflicts of Interest? Maybe Congress Should Look in the Mirror
Jan 11, 2017
New evidence shows personal wealth interests drive Congressional votes
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Ferguson: Monetary Policy Can't Levitate a Broken Economy
Jan 9, 2017
As part of an International Economy symposium, INET Research Director Tom Ferguson assessed the challenge facing central bankers through the lens of the missing virtues of Dorothy’s travel companions in the Wizard of Oz
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America’s Failures of Representation and Prospects for Democracy
Jan 6, 2017
A concentration of wealth and power that created a twin crisis of representation — in politics, and in expertise — set the stage for Donald Trump’s election victory, and has put America’s founding principles at risk
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Race May be Pseudo-Science, But Economists Ignore it at their Peril
Jan 6, 2017
Presented by Professor Dan O’Flaherty at the Institute’s conference on the economics of race in Detroit on 11 November, 2016
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INET's Turner Warns Against 'Fantasy' of Stimulating Economies Through Financial Deregulation
Jan 5, 2017
There is no good case for major deregulation of the US financial sector, warns INET Board Chairman Adair Turner, and any backsliding by a Trump administration on banks’ capital requirements instituted globally after 2008 will be very dangerous
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Robots, Universal Basic Income, and the Welfare State
Jan 5, 2017
Evidence thus far questions the assumption that robotics are eliminating jobs. INET Senior Vice President for Programs Rick McGahey says the UBI debate should focus on the long-term weakening of labor’s bargaining power
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A Socialist Market Economy With Chinese Contradictions
Jan 3, 2017
Beijing’s leaders face a critical dilemma over a credit boom that imperils China’s prospects for a smooth transition to a sustainable economic path
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A Moral Challenge to Economists
Jan 1, 2017
Extract from the keynote speech by the Rev. Dr. William Barber III at the Institute for New Economic Thinking conference on race and economics in Detroit on November 11
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INET Research in a Year of Living Dangerously
Dec 29, 2016
Notes from the Institute’s Director of Research on some significant papers and contributions produced in 2016 under the INET rubric
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Stiglitz: Bad News Awaits America's Workers
Dec 28, 2016
Campaign promises aside, the policies favored by President-elect Donal Trump are likely to bring more pain than gain to working-class Americans
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Garza Parsing America’s Backlash
Dec 27, 2016
Black Lives Matter movement co-founder Alicia Garza, addressing the Institute’s Detroit conference on the economics of race, placed the turmoil created by the 2016 election in the context of a backlash against the gains made by social movements challenging racial and social injustice. She argued that those movements now need, more than ever, “to show up for one another” at a local level to protect those gains
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Sraffa’s Revolution in Economic Theory
Dec 26, 2016
The prominence of the debate over ‘reswitching’ has obscured the importance of Piero Sraffa’s profound contribution to economics. It’s time to revisit and build on that body of work
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Reality Check: What Economists Talk About When They Talk About the Chinese Economy
Dec 23, 2016
Beneath the heated political rhetoric over U.S.-China economic ties lies an increasingly complex reality
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If CEO Pay Was Measured Properly, It Would Look Even More Outrageous
Dec 22, 2016
Research funded by the Institute for New Economic Thinking has revealed that the SEC reports executive compensation using a formula that routinely undercounts it
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Chanos: Is a big change underway in global capitalism?
Dec 21, 2016
Milwaukee-born short-seller Jim Chanos, founder and managing partner of New York-based Kynikos Associates, teaches University of Wisconsin and Yale business students about corporate fraud. During his life and career, he has witnessed seismic shifts in economic thinking and the relationship between labor and capital. Chanos shares his thoughts on the world emerging from the election of Donald Trump and the tumultuous political events of 2016.
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Contemplating the Age of Hyper-Uncertainty
Dec 19, 2016
In the 40th anniversary year of John Kenneth Galbraith’s Age of Uncertainty, the 1970s look remarkably stable in comparison with today’s turbulent world
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Many Politicians Voting for the TARP Bailout Protected Their Own Wealth
Dec 16, 2016
Amid heightened focus on conflicts of interests, new research shows how legislators’ votes on the 2008 bank bailout tracked with the exposure to peril of their personal stock portfolios
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The Geopolitics of Populism
Dec 13, 2016
The big question in Asian countries right now is what lesson to take from Donald Trump’s victory in the United States’ presidential election, and from the United Kingdom’s Brexit referendum, in which British voters opted to leave the European Union. Unfortunately, the focus is not where it should be: geopolitical change.
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The Trump Agenda and the Economic and Investment Outlook for 2017
Dec 13, 2016 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion on President-elect Trump’s economic agenda and its implications for the U.S. and world economies.
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Heckman Study: Investment in Early Childhood Education Yields Substantial Gains for the Economy
Dec 12, 2016
New research by Nobel Laureate and Institute for New Economic Thinking Advisory Board member James Heckman finds strong economic gains from birth-to-five education programs
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Capitalism in the Time of Trump?
Dec 8, 2016
As the world turns upside down, Mariana Mazzucato discusses how to shape an economy that works for everyone
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Eurozone Crisis Was Caused More By Reckless Lending Than By Reckless Spending
Dec 5, 2016
Remedies have failed to produced growth and reduce indebtedness because they’re focused on protecting toxic behavior by banks in Europe’s core countries
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Volcker: Tackle the Unfinished Business of 2008
Dec 5, 2016
The Volcker Alliance has launched a series of new papers with important proposals for reforming financial regulations to guard against future crises
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Stiglitz: Democratic Party Needs New Economic Thinking
Dec 4, 2016
Nobel laureate argues that the party’s adherence to neoliberal orthodoxy has hurt its prospects
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The Retreat from Hyper-Globalization
Dec 1, 2016
Flows of goods and services, people and capital have overwhelmed the ability of political processes to accommodate them
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Will Trump Bring Neoliberalism’s Apocalypse, or Merely a New Iteration?
Nov 30, 2016
Real existing neoliberalism as a set of social facts distinct from a purist ideology has proven remarkably adaptable and politically resilient
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Trump’s Win is a Warning: Europe Urgently Needs a New Deal
Nov 30, 2016
President Franklin D. Roosevelt’s policies allowed the United States to avoid the perils of right-wing populism that plunged Europe into war in the 1930s — Europe should learn from his example
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Bracing for Trumponomics
Nov 29, 2016
What we’re reading: Some analysts expect dramatic changes and a short-term boost to the US economy, others predict continuity — and see Trump’s election reflecting a sea change in the global order
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India: Demonetization and its Discontents
Nov 28, 2016
By suddenly eliminating two widely used bank notes, India’s government risks undermining public confidence in the basic means of exchange
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Trump Election and the Future of U.S. Global Leadership
Nov 28, 2016
Surviving the geopolitical and economic challenges of the coming years requires a world order less vulnerable to the vagaries of U.S. elections
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Trumpism Has Dealt a Mortal Blow to Orthodox Economics and ‘Social Science’
Nov 23, 2016
How orthodox economics paved the way for the political shocks of 2016
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Economists and Trump: Straight Talk on Trade
Nov 20, 2016
By suppressing important questions in favor of being cheerleaders for globalization, economists failed to influence the public conversation
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Why is Economics Still Largely a White Male Preserve?
Nov 17, 2016
How economics underperforms in diversity, and some potential remedies
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Trade Liberalization After the U.S. Election
Nov 16, 2016
The TPP is dead, as is the assumption that future free-trade agreements can be negotiated by experts alone
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Why Economic Recovery Requires Rethinking Capitalism
Nov 15, 2016
Mission-oriented public investment is vital to spur a revival of private-sector investment
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Lazonick links stock buybacks to America’s jobs challenge
Nov 4, 2016
In an Al Jazeera documentary “In Search of the Great American Job”, Institute scholar William Lazonick offers some arch insights into the relationship between financialization — particularly the “shareholder value” ideology in corporations, which drives the transfer of profits to shareholders through stock buybacks — and job creation and inequality.
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The World Economy’s Growing Debt Burden
Nov 2, 2016 | 04:00—05:30
A conversation with Richard Vague, Managing Partner at Gabriel Investments and Chairman of the Governor’s Woods Foundation.
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Working Paper Series
The EuroZone “Debt” Crisis: Another “Center” – “Periphery” Crisis Under Financial Globalization?
Nov 2016
This paper analyzes the Euro crisis in light of the experience of center-periphery relations over the last 40 years of renewed financial globalization.
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Inequality As Policy: Selective Trade Protectionism Favors Higher Earners
Oct 27, 2016
Offshoring manufacturing may have hurt many working people in America, but professionals and intellectual property have been robustly protected
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Yellen Challenges Economists Amid Elusive Great Recovery
Oct 24, 2016
Like the Great Depression and the stagflation of the ’70s, the anemic growth of the U.S. economy can’t be understood or remedied without changes in economists’ thinking
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Clinton Likely to Win, But Struggle in 2020 Unless She Changes Course
Oct 20, 2016
Institute for New Economic Thinking President Robert Johnson, in an appearance of the CNN International show Quest Means Business, warns that the anger of Trump’s supporters is unlikely to ebb absent significant economic and political changes — and that this anger could be more successfully marshaled by a more skilled and sophisticated Republican challenger four years from now.
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Working Paper Series
The Personal Wealth Interests of Politicians and the Stabilization of Financial Markets
Oct 2016
We examine whether personal wealth interests affect politicians’ decisions about stabilizing financial markets.
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Piecing Together a Paradigm
YSI Plenary
YSI
ConferenceOct 19–22, 2016
New approaches are being developed, but efforts are fragmented and need to be brought together if we hope to piece together a paradigm.
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Here’s What Economists Don’t Understand About Race
Oct 18, 2016
William Darity, Jr. has a new key to unlocking the mystery of inequality: stratification economics.
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Unemployment Insurance Extension During Great Recession Did Not Destroy Jobs
Oct 13, 2016
Social safety nets don’t always need to come with a dark side
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Investigating ‘Secular Stagnation’
Oct 13, 2016
Institute for New Economic Thinking launches a far-reaching research effort into causes and potential remedies for the low-to-no-growth malaise afflicting many of the world’s leading economies
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New Nationalist Challenges to Globalization: The Good, Bad, and Ugly
Oct 13, 2016 | 06:00—07:30
A conversation with Robert Johnson, President of the Institute for New Economic Thinking, former Managing Director for Soros Fund Management and former Chief Economist of the US Senate Banking Committee.
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The Dangers of Financialization
Oct 10, 2016
The financial system no longer funds new ideas and projects — only about 15 percent of the money coming out of financial institutions goes into business investment; the rest is spent buying and selling existing financial instruments.
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Getting to Grips with the Trump Phenomenon
Oct 5, 2016
The media has failed ask basic questions about the economic thinking — and business record — of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, says Pulitzer-prize-winning journalist David Cay Johnston, author of The Making of Donald Trump.
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Commentary
The “Natural” Interest Rate and Secular Stagnation: Loanable Funds Macro Models Don’t Fit the Data
Oct 2016
The main point of this paper is that loanable funds macroeconomic models with their “natural” interest rate don’t fit with modern institutions and data. Before getting into the numbers, it makes sense to describe the models and how to think about macroeconomics in the first place.
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Johnson: The Fed is losing its aura of expertise
Sep 30, 2016
Past failures, present uncertainty, and a challenging political environment have vastly complicated the central bank’s task, says Institute President Rob Johnson
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Is there really an empirical turn in economics?
Sep 29, 2016
The idea that economics has recently gone through an empirical turn –that it went from theory to data– is all over the place. I argue that this transformation has been oversimplified and mischaracterized.
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The Economic Legacy of Racism
Sep 28, 2016
If additional education is not the solution to racial inequality, what is?
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The Nobel Prize in Economics: Time for a Return to Social Democracy
Sep 26, 2016
An award created as a concession to market-minded bankers needs to recognize the centrality of social-democratic policies to the wellbeing of industrialized economies
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How economic policy drives European (dis)integration
Sep 22, 2016
The Eurozone is (quietly) disintegrating as ‘core’ and ‘periphery’ countries continue on paths of economic divergence. That disintegration is reinforced by self-defeating policies shaped by a macroeconomic model that mimics and reinforces the divisions between ‘winners’ and ‘losers’
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The Outlook for the Global Economy
Sep 22, 2016 | 06:00—07:30
An exclusive conversation with Richard Batley, Head of Macroeconomics at Lombard Street Research.
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The Private Debt Crisis
Sep 21, 2016
China is drowning in it. The whole world has too much of it. History suggests: This won’t end well.
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Why Corporate CEO Pay is Routinely Undercounted
Sep 15, 2016
An Institute for New Economic Thinking Working Paper by William Lazonick and Matt Hopkins reveals that much reporting on executive pay relies on systems of measurement that underreport real compensation
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Guardian’s Wisconsin investigation points to big money’s systemic distortion of U.S. democracy
Sep 15, 2016
Newspaper’s probe amplifies questions raised by our research into the impact of corporate donations onU.S. elections
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European Ruling Highlights Apple's Corrupted Business Model
Aug 31, 2016
There is much for U.S. authorities to learn from the European example of forcing corporations to pay their fair share of taxes, but more far-reaching oversight of executives’ allocation of resources is also required
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Working Paper Series
The Mismeasure of Mammon: Uses and Abuses of Executive Pay Data
Aug 2016
Report to the Institute for New Economic Thinking on the statistical measurement and policy implications of the compensation of the highest- paid U.S. corporate executives
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The link between health spending and life expectancy: The US is an outlier
Aug 18, 2016
The US stands out as an outlier: the US spends far more on health than any other country, yet the life expectancy of the American population is not longer but actually shorter than in other countries that spend far less.
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There Isn’t Really a ‘Mainstream’ at All
Aug 11, 2016
There is a mix of common-sense opinions, political prejudices, conventional business practice, and pragmatic rules of thumb, supported in an ad hoc, opportunistic way by bits and pieces of economic theory.
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Working Paper Series
Political Lending
Aug 2016
Using a unique dataset provided by the Center for Responsive Politics (CRP), we document a direct channel through which financial institutions contribute to the net worth of members of the U.S. Congress, particularly those sitting on the finance committees in the Senate and the House of Representatives.
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The strange fate of economists' interest in collective decision-making
Aug 9, 2016
How economists turned to the study of collective decision-making after World War II, faced many impossibilities, and lost interest after solving them
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Stark New Evidence on How Money Shapes America’s Elections
Aug 8, 2016
Oversights of two generations of social scientists have weakened democracy.
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Financialization and its Discontents
Aug 2, 2016
Focusing on what money really is – whether gold or state fiat – shifts attention away from what credit really is, which is to say away from the center of discontent.
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Working Paper Series
How Money Drives US Congressional Elections
Aug 2016
Social scientists have stubbornly held that money and election outcomes are at most weakly linked. New research provides clear evidence to the contrary.
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Why Does Economics Reject New Thinking?
Jul 29, 2016
On George Akerlof’s “The Market for Lemons”
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Was the Financial Crisis Anticipated? Evidence from Insider Trading in Banks
Jul 21, 2016
Evidence from Insider Trading in Banks
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Modern Monopolies
Jul 21, 2016
With the power of modern computing being harnessed into increasingly small and portable devices, what do digital platforms mean for the entrenched global economy?
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German Worries: Fear Fosters Crisis
Jul 20, 2016
Inflation, the euro crisis – for years there has been one worry hype after another. Yet fear frequently turns out to be wrong. We need a committee of wise men in charge of dealing with the real risks.
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Working Paper Series
Latent Instrumental Variables: A Critical Review
Jul 2016
This paper considers the estimation problem in linear regression when endogeneity is present, that is, when explanatory variables are correlated with the random error, and also addresses the question of a priori testing for potential endogeneity.
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What’s the Problem With Protectionism?
Jul 19, 2016
One thing is now certain about the upcoming presidential election in the United States: the next president will not be a committed free trader.
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James Crotty and the Responsibilities of the Heterodox
Jul 17, 2016
It was during a year in residency at Tokyo’s Hitotsuabashi University in 1995 that Jim Crotty first “met” John Maynard Keynes.
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The Promise of Regrexit
Jul 12, 2016
Europe’s leaders must recognize that the EU is on the verge of collapse. Instead of blaming one another, they should pull together and adopt exceptional measures.
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From Brexit to the Future
Jul 11, 2016
The EU is preparing to take a tough line with Britain, in order to deter other member states from following it out of the Union. But it is the neoliberal agenda that has prevailed for last four decades, benefiting only the top 1%, that is fueled voter anger on both sides of the Atlantic.
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Another Banking Crisis in Europe? This Time, Save Banks, Not Bankers
Jul 7, 2016
If Italy or the European Union have to step in to save banks, there’s no reason for them to have to do it for free
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Brexit, Trump and the challenge of populism
Jul 6, 2016
What we’re reading: As the shock of the UK referendum vote to leave the European Union continues to roil, a number of analysts see it as revealing dynamics of which all Western policymakers ought to be aware
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Channeling Charles Kindleberger on Brexit
Jul 5, 2016
The economic historian would have seen the British vote to leave the European Union as part of a larger drama of centralization versus pluralism
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Crisis After Brexit: Let us put an end to the old Europe of denigrators
Jul 5, 2016
No, it’s not bureaucracy that is to blame - It’s the EU that has a problem, because urged by Germany it has pushed a kind of naive globalization, the outgrowths of which contribute to the upswing of dim-witted populists. Not only in the EU. Time for a new paradigm.