Government & Politics
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Grantee paper
Empirical Research on the Revolving Door ‘Shadow Lobbyists’
Oct 2017
The US federal lobbying industry, based in Washington DC, is major focal point for political money and the exercise of influence, with expenditures peaking at approximately $2.5 billion per annum during the first Obama administration.
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The Real High Income Trap: Political Money, Political Establishments and Power
Oct 23, 2017 | 09:30
Not just an American dilemma: is political money in dual economies the biggest problem of all?
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Conference paper
Fracturing at the Core of the Global Order
Oct 2017
The Death of the Seventy-year American Empire
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Core Fractures and International Relations
Oct 23, 2017 | 04:30
As dual economies transform countries, how does world politics adjust?
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Emerging Economies
Oct 22, 2017 | 03:30
Coping with the dysfunction of advanced economies, and developing strategies for economic development.
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Conference paper
Betting on Hitler – The Value of Political Connections in Nazi Germany
Oct 2017
This paper examines the value of connections between German industry and the Nazi movement in early 1933. Drawing on previously unused contemporary sources about management and supervisory board composition and stock returns, we find that one out of seven firms, and a large proportion of the biggest companies, had substantive links with the National Socialist German Workers’ Party. Firms supporting the Nazi movement experienced unusually high returns, outperforming unconnected ones by 5% to 8% between January and March 1933. These results are not driven by sectoral composition and are robust to alternative estimators and definitions of affiliation.
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Conference paper
Notes on the Failure of the Weimar Republic
Oct 2017
“The Failure of Democracy” – “The weaknesses of Weimar” Do headlines such as these suggest that the whole architecture of the first German republic was wrong, that it was doomed right from the start, that the “collapse” was unavoidable?
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Conference paper
The Value of Political Connections in Fascist Italy
Oct 2017
Stock Market Returns and Corporate Networks
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Truth or Consequences: Lessons from Past Democratic Collapses
Oct 22, 2017 | 01:30
A look at how liberal democracies have disintegrated amid economic crises. Speakers: Thomas Ferguson, Tiziana Foresti, Nadia Garbellini, Peter Langer, Joachim Voth, Ariel Wirkierman Discussant: James Kurth Chair: Thomas Ferguson
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Conference paper
Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis
Oct 2017
On 23 June 2016, the British electorate voted to leave the European Union (EU). We analyse vote and turnout shares across 380 local authority areas in the United Kingdom.
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Populist Revolts: Economics, Culture, Race, Gender?
Oct 22, 2017 | 09:00
Different accounts trace populism to cultural reactions, racial or gender animosity, and/or economics. What does the empirical evidence suggest?
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Conference paper
The Hinge of Fate? Economic and Social Populism in the 2016 Presidential Election A Preliminary Exploration
Oct 2017
Support for populism is often attributed to xenophobia, racism, sexism; to anger and resentment at immigrants, racial or ethnic minorities, or “uppity” non-traditional women. According to these accounts , people who feel socially resentful may reject established politicians as favoring those “others” over people like themselves, and turn to outsider populistic leaders.
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Conference paper
Instrumental Variables and Causal Mechanisms
Oct 2017
Unpacking the Effect of Trade on Workers and Voters
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Conference paper
Innovation, Intellectual Property, and Development
Oct 2017
A better set of approaches for the 21st century.
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Conference paper
Hell is Truth Seen Too Late
Oct 2017
The contemporary literature on neoliberalism has grown so large as to be unwieldy. For some on the left, this has presented an occasion to denounce it altogether.
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Conference paper
How far are Economists Purveyors of Fake News?
Oct 2017
How far are economists implicated in the rise of ‘fake experts’ and ‘fake news’?
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Fake News and Fake Experts? Or Should the Experts and the Media Find New Citizens?
Oct 22, 2017 | 03:30
Fake news, propaganda, and “expertise”: What has happened to information in the information age?
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Conference paper
Importing Political Polarization?
Oct 2017
The Electoral Consequences of Rising Trade Exposure
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Conference paper
Fathers of Neoliberalism
Oct 2017
The Academic and Professional Performance of the Chicago School, 1960-1985
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Taking the Con Out of Economics? The Limits of Negative Darwinism
Oct 22, 2017 | 12:00
What Do Citations Actually Measure in Economics and How Should Economic Journals and Department Review Committees Use This Data?
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Nobel Laureates to Co-Chair Independent Commission on Global Economy
Oct 22, 2017
Joseph Stiglitz, Michael Spence and a global team of leading thinkers are calling for new thinking & new rules for the world economy
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Conference paper
A Fiscal Union. Is it likely? Would it be enough?
Oct 2017
The current crisis is the culmination of a process of integration that has profoundly changed the structure of each member state, their inter-relations and their power relations. One of its side effects was the rediscovery of the terms ‘centre’ and ‘periphery’ to analyse the economic situations of the European countries.
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Conference paper
Macroeconomic stabilization, monetary-fiscal interactions, and Europe’s monetary union
Oct 2017
The euro area has been experiencing a prolonged period of weak economic activity and very low inflation.
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Conference paper
How a Flawed Structure is Hurting the Eurozone—Economically and Politically
Oct 2017
The wind appears to be back in the sails of the Eurozone economy ….
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Conference paper
Power or Economic Law?
Oct 2017
Some fresh reflections on ECB policy
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The Future of the Eurozone
Oct 21, 2017 | 12:30
Can a monetary union without true banking and fiscal union be saved? What remains of the hopes that animated the Treaty of Rome?
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Scottish First Minister Opens #INET2017
Oct 21, 2017 | 11:00
Nicola Sturgeon covers a range of topics including how economists’ work relates to policymaking, the financial crisis and the dangers of groupthink, how dissatisfaction with stagnating wages and rising inequality played into political shocks like Brexit, the legacy of Adam Smith, why new economic thinking is so important, and what her government is doing to foster and apply it.
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Reawakening
PlenaryFrom the Origins of Economic Ideas to the Challenges of Our Time
Oct 21–23, 2017
INET gathered hundreds of new economic thinkers in Edinburgh to discuss the past, present, and future of the economics profession.
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Festival for New Economic Thinking
YSI
ConferenceOct 19–20, 2017
The Festival for New Economic Thinking is a collaborative initiative of several organizations, and aims to bring together those who seek to improve how economics is taught, studied and practiced.
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Brexit and the European Union: One Year On
Oct 10, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
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Is Europe’s Economic Recovery for Real?
Oct 3, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
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Why Exports Alone Can’t Make Poor Countries Rich
Sep 27, 2017
“Blindly” Engaging in Global Supply Chains Can Erode Developing Nations’ Economic Power
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Innovation, Institutions and Governance
YSI
ConferenceSep 16–19, 2017
The YSI Economics of Innovation Working Group in partnership with the Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance, Tallinn University of Technology is hosting a YSI Conference on “Innovation, Institutions and Governance”.
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How Elite Financial Networks Rule the World
Aug 30, 2017
Personal connections are key to understanding concentrations of wealth and power
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Political Economy, Technocracy, and the New Gilded Age
Aug 28, 2017
In this episode of Hidden Forces, host Demetri Kofinas speaks with Robert Johnson, about the political economy, inequality, and the failings of our technocratic institutions.
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Edward Kane: Hidden Subsidies for Too Big to Fail Banks
Aug 24, 2017
An examination of some little-known ways nation states and central banks prop up megabanks
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Protectionism Will Not Protect Jobs Anywhere
Aug 7, 2017
The same angst that Americans and Europeans have about the future of jobs is an order of magnitude higher in Asia.
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Institutions, Democracy, and Economic Development
Aug 2, 2017
Robinson explains how natural experiments are done and why they’re useful. He also explains distribution of power and development of state play critical roles in successful economies.
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Why Tax Cuts for the Rich Solve Nothing
Aug 1, 2017
Back-room deals on corporate tax reform won’t increase growth
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The Economic Case for Single Payer Health Care in the US
Jul 8, 2017
Greater efficiency, lower costs, and universal coverage make it the sustainable option, say some top economists
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Jim Chanos: U.S. Economy is Worse Than You Think
Jun 30, 2017
The famed short-seller offers a mid-2017 reality check for “fake fiscal news,” and economic pipe dreams, and sees “portents of even worse things”
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America’s Recurring Debt Problem: Are We Approaching a New Tipping Point?
Jun 22, 2017 | 04:30—06:00
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Trump-Style Policies Will Deepen the “American Carnage”
Jun 20, 2017
Current proposals will worsen inequality and harm those Trump promised to protect—while further enriching the top 1%
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Globalization and the Developing World
YSI Latin America Convening 2017
YSI
ConferenceJun 17–21, 2017
The Young Scholars Initiative is hosting its regional convening for Latin America in Mexico City from 17-21 June.
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How to Resist Trump’s “Toxic To-Do List”
Jun 15, 2017
Naomi Klein discusses her new book, No Is Not Enough: Resisting Trump’s Shock Politics and Winning the World We Need.
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e-Book Launch: Can Dependency Theory Explain Our World Today?
Jun 14, 2017
Young Scholars Initiative (YSI) has released a new e-book, “Conversations on Dependency Theory”
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The Hidden Cost of Privatization
Jun 13, 2017
Why some goods and services should stay in the public domain
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Did Young Voters Swing the 2017 UK General Election Result?
Jun 12, 2017
This blog post looks at the aggregate picture and collates some micro evidence in a more robust estimating framework to shed light on this question.
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Decolonizing Africa? The Economic History of Development
YSI Africa Convening 2017
YSI
ConferenceJun 8–9, 2017
The Young Scholars Initiative and the University of the Free State, SA, invite young scholars to attend the first YSI Africa conference.
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Trento Festival of Economics
YSI Europe Convening 2017
YSI
WorkshopJun 1–4, 2017
The Young Scholars Initiative and its working groups will be hosting meetings and discussions in and around the 2017 Trento Festival of Economics.
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Mexico, NAFTA, and the Future of the North American Economy
May 30, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion featuring Kenneth Smith, Head of the Trade and NAFTA Office of the Ministry of the Economy of Mexico, and Jay Pelosky, Principal of Pelosky Global Strategies.
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Skills Workshop at the EU Parliament
Annual Meeting of the Finance, Law, and Economics Working Group
YSI
WorkshopMay 29–30, 2017
This two-day skills workshop / annual meeting of the Finance, Law, and Economics Working Group (FLE) aims to connect participants with politicians (MEP), lobbyists, NGOs, and practitioners working in fields related to law and finance. It will comprise workshops and visits with representatives, which will facilitate exchanges between academia and politics. Participants will gain fresh insights into the decision-making and lobbying processes in Brussels, allowing them to translate their ideas into actions and create a stronger social impact.
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The New New Deal
May 26, 2017
Globalization has fallen into disrepute; the myth of the prosperity and happiness-generating free market has been dispelled. A visionary concept that provides guidance and direction is required now.
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The New Normal
May 19, 2017
Demand, Secular Stagnation and the Vanishing Middle-Class
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Working Paper Series
The New Normal: Demand, Secular Stagnation and the Vanishing Middle-Class
May 2017
The U.S. economy is widely diagnosed with two ‘diseases’: a secular stagnation of potential U.S. growth, and rising income and job polarization. The two diseases have a common root inthe demand shortfall, originating from the ‘unbalanced’ growth between technologically ‘dynamic’ and ‘stagnant’ sectors.
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It’s Not Just Profit Wrecking American Healthcare
May 15, 2017
A look at America’s strange and dangerous approach to medicine, and how to fix it
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Working Paper Series
The Political Economy of Mass Incarceration: An Analytical Model
May 2017
This paper presents a model of mass incarceration in the United States, which has the largest proportion of its population imprisoned among advanced countries.
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India's Economic Challenges
May 9, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion with Kaushik Basu, Professor of Economics and the C. Marks Professor of International Studies at Cornell University and former Senior Vice President and Chief Economist of the World Bank.
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The Push and Pull of Inequality and Identity
May 3, 2017
Professor Dutt discusses how group identity is key to addressing inequality and how inequality can disrupt group identity.
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America is Regressing into a Developing Nation for Most People
Apr 20, 2017
A new book by economist Peter Temin finds that the U.S. is no longer one country, but dividing into two separate economic and political worlds
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PhD Workshop at the Fourth Nordic Post-Keynesian Conference
YSI
WorkshopApr 19–21, 2017
The YSI Keynesian Economics Working Group is co-hosting a PhD seminar at the Nordic Post-Keynesian Conference entitled “Economics at the Edge”.
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Against False Arrogance of Economic Knowledge
Apr 17, 2017
“The humility to accept that economic propositions cannot be universal would save us from self-defeating arrogance.” Economist Amit Bhaduri adds his perspective to our Experts on Trial discussion.
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The Moral Burden on Economists
Apr 13, 2017
In his 2017 presidential address to the National Economic Association, Professor Darrick Hamilton warned that treating economics as a morally neutral ‘science’, and the discipline’s limited attention to structural barriers and overemphasis individual agency, has resulted in bad economics, and bad policy particularly as it relates to racial disparity.
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Fiscal Union, Social Europe: Synergies and Tensions
YSI
WorkshopApr 13–14, 2017
The YSI Political Economy of Europe Working Group invites young scholars to partake in a Research Seminar aiming to investigate the interplay between fiscal policy in the European Union and domestic social policies of its member states.
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Making Innovation Work for China and other Developing Countries
Apr 12, 2017
Along the entire “innovation chain” — from research and development, to production and commercialization — government and private sectors have very different roles to play.
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The Outskirts of Hope: Poverty in America
Apr 4, 2017
The “War on Poverty,” and the impact of public policy
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Hungary Is Facing Dangerous Amendments to Its Education Law
Apr 3, 2017
The Institute for New Economic Thinking, a global network of distinguished economists, is deeply concerned by the news of proposed legislation in Hungary’s National Assembly that would prevent the free functioning of the Central European University.
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The paradoxes of fiscal austerity in Brazil
Mar 30, 2017
Brazil’s current economic scenario does not resemble the emerging economy that until recently fueled the optimism of analysts and investors.
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A Public Comment on the SEC Pay Ratio Disclosure Rule
Mar 29, 2017
In this comment, we explain our objections to the SEC’s current formulation of the Pay Ratio Disclosure Rule on each of three grounds: the erroneous estimation of CEO pay; the unclear specification of the “median” worker; and the risk of normalizing a pay ratio that is far too high. Then we present the latest data on the remuneration of the 500 highest-paid CEOs in the United States, demonstrating the way in which the SEC’s measure of CEO pay that enters into the CEO-to-median-worker pay ratio tends to systematically underestimate actual executive pay.
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Mortality Crisis Redux: The Economics of Despair
Mar 27, 2017
The health crisis afflicting working-class Americans recalls similar symptoms in Russia following the collapse of communism
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Geo-economic Trends and the State of Economies in the Middle East: An Israeli Perspective
Mar 27, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion with Shahar Shelef, Director of The Economic and Strategic Affairs Department, Center for Policy Research at the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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Women Foot the Bill for Economic Growth, Parity Requires Social Investment
Mar 22, 2017
Pursuing equality while growing the economy requires reframing social spending as a form of investment.
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Dismantling Public Education: Turning Ideology into Gold
Mar 1, 2017
Policies based on faith in the “market” as a principle of social organization have wrought havoc with a founding principle of American democracy
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China's Wage Growth: How Fast Is the Gain and What Does It Mean?
Feb 28, 2017
New findings show that hourly wage-rates in China are higher than in middle-income countries and are approaching the levels of Greece and Portugal
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Can “It” Happen Again? Defining the Battlefield for a Theoretical Revolution in Economics
Feb 27, 2017
As part of our “Experts on Trial Series”, Antonella Palumbo argues for stripping away ‘scientific’ shibboleths that mask social and political choices
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China’s Weapons of Trade War
Feb 25, 2017
A trade war would undoubtedly hurt both sides. But there is reason to believe that the US has more to lose. If nothing else, the Chinese seem to know precisely which weapons they have available to them. China could stop purchasing US aircraft, impose an embargo.
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INET Guide to the 2017 EEA Meeting
ConferenceFeb 23–26, 2017
A reference guide to all Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) community presentations at the Eastern Economic Association’s (EEA) 2017 annual meeting
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Race Has a Regional Dimension in America’s Political Economy
Feb 20, 2017
Stanford economic historian Professor Gavin Wright, addressing the Institute’s conference on the economics of race, argues that the conditions facing the children of the great migration from the South are very different to the conditions for the children of those who stayed behind.
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China’s Economic Challenges May Soon Include Inequality
Feb 14, 2017
Research by Thomas Piketty, partly funded by the Institute, shows that wealth and income gaps in China are now larger than Europe’s, and approaching those of the US
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Euroland: Will the Netherlands be the next domino to fall?
Feb 13, 2017
Austerity has nurtured resentments that will likely make the populist right PVV the biggest winner in the March 15 election — but without the majority or the allies needed to govern
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Carbon Dividends: The Bipartisan Key to Climate Policy?
Feb 13, 2017
The practical question in Washington today is not whether regulations will go, but whether anything will replace them
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At Sea Without an Anchor
Feb 10, 2017
A presentation from The Economics of Post-Factual Democracy, the first annual conference of The Center for Information and Bubble Studies (CIBS) at The University of Copenhagen
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Jayadev: TPP is Dead, but its Legacy Lives On
Feb 10, 2017
Institute scholar Arjun Jayadev argues that while TPP is dead, its damaging legacy on intellectual property rights is likely to shape future bilateral trade agreements
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What Kind of Brexit, What Kind of European Union?
Feb 9, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion on Brexit with Iain Begg, Professorial Research Fellow at the European Institute, London School of Economics.
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The economist as an expert: a prince, a servant or a citizen?
Feb 8, 2017
In his contribution to our ongoing series “Experts on Trial”, Alessandro Roncaglia argues that viewing economists as princes or servants of power is inherently authoritarian. We should instead see the economist as a socially and politically engaged citizen
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Why Greenspan Knew, But Didn’t Act
Feb 8, 2017
Mallaby’s research shows that Greenspan knew more about the looming perils than people realize.
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Zero Interest Rates in EU: The Myth of the Poor German Saver
Feb 7, 2017
Panic over the impact on German savers of low interest rates and looming inflation neglects to mention that very few Germans are saving much
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'People Have Had Enough of Experts'
Feb 6, 2017
As part of our ongoing symposium “Experts on Trial”, Professor Sheila Dow argues that if voters have grown contemptuous of economists’ expertise, that’s because economics has been misrepresented as a technical subject separate from politics and moral judgments
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Adair Turner on the Liquidity Risks of ETFs
Feb 5, 2017
Turner discusses The Economist’s Society the liquidity risks posed by Exchange Traded Funds.
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Is Inequality a Political Choice?
Feb 3, 2017
Research by INET-affiliated scholars shows the US lags far behind its peers on inclusive growth, suggesting inequality is not an inevitable consequence of globalization and technology
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Three Economic Surprises to Watch for in 2017
Feb 2, 2017
Institute Governing Board member Anatole Kaletsky argues that the Trump Administration’s policies will boost inflation and spur interest-hikes as well as a stronger dollar more rapidly than many expect, but that the European Union’s economy is on the mend
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To Save Capitalism, Make it Work for Average Folks
Feb 1, 2017
Smick argues that distortions of capitalism have fed populist rebellion, and that reviving a capitalism that offers opportunity for average people to increase their earnings is an urgent priority if America’s political economy is to be stabilized.
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China’s Economic Management at the Beginning of the Trump Era: Turbulence Ahead or Steady-As-You-Go
Feb 1, 2017 | 06:00—07:30
A discussion on China’s economic management at the beginning of the Trump era featuring Leland R. Miller, Co-founder and CEO of the China Beige Book.
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Brunnermeier: Europe’s Future Will Be Settled By a Battle of Ideas
Jan 25, 2017
A conflict which revolves around key economic policy differences on questions such as rules vs. discretion, solidarity vs. liability, liquidity vs. solvency and austerity vs. stimulus.
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Trumping Capitalism?
Jan 24, 2017
Donald Trump’s presidency is a symptom of an interregnum between economic orders – a period that will result in a new balance between state and market. While his administration’s economic policies are unlikely to provide the right answer, they may at least show the world what not to do.
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Johnson: Elites Eying the Exits Signals America's Crisis
Jan 23, 2017
Institute President Rob Johnson interviewed by the New Yorker on hedge-fund managers and the market for air strips in New Zealand
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The Jobs Legacy of the Obama Presidency
Jan 19, 2017
Viewed in historical context, the weak recovery from the 2008 crisis has been slow and painful, but a sub-5% unemployment rate and healthy job and wage growth will be among the most important legacies Obama leaves to the next president
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The Economics of the Affordable Care Act
Jan 17, 2017
Any effort to replace the Affordable Care Act will be confronted by the same structural imbalances in the health care economy that the legislation’s authors faced
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Conflicts of Interest? Maybe Congress Should Look in the Mirror
Jan 11, 2017
New evidence shows personal wealth interests drive Congressional votes
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Ferguson: Monetary Policy Can't Levitate a Broken Economy
Jan 9, 2017
As part of an International Economy symposium, INET Research Director Tom Ferguson assessed the challenge facing central bankers through the lens of the missing virtues of Dorothy’s travel companions in the Wizard of Oz