Macroeconomics
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Conference paper
Gender and the Future of Macroeconomics
Oct 2017
Decomposition by such an important category as gender helps us understand the economy at the macro level, and design macroeconomic policy, better. It also provides the foundation for advocating equal gender rights and outcomes. But, where gendered policy issues arise in mainstream macroeconomics (income maldistribution, labour market composition, etc.) the subject matter is narrowed by its microfoundations, by focusing on GDP growth and on suboptimal outcomes being explained by market imperfections.
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Macroeconomics of Gender
Oct 23, 2017 | 12:45
What would it look like if women and other marginalized groups could fully participate in our economy and society?
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Why Do Estimates of Immigration's Economic Effects Clash So Sharply?
Oct 22, 2017 | 03:30
Untangling the Facts about Immigration in the World Economy.
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Conference paper
Rising public debt-to-GDP can harm economic growth
Oct 2017
The debt-growth relationship is complex, varying across countries and being affected by global factors. While there is no simple universal threshold above which debt-to-GDP becomes a significant brake on growth, based on data from the last four decades we show that high and rising public debt burdens slow down growth in the long term.
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Debt Traps, Public and Private
Oct 22, 2017 | 04:30
What role does debt play in triggering economic crises, and is the problem principally public or private sector debt?
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Brexit and the European Union: One Year On
Oct 10, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
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Is Europe’s Economic Recovery for Real?
Oct 3, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
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Working paper
Bubbles as violations of efficient time-scales
Sep 2017
It is commonly overlooked that the concept of market efficiency embowers a time-dimension. Illustrating with an example from the class of persistent random walks, we show that a price process can be a martingale on one time-scale but inefficient on another.
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Is Poverty More Worrying than Inequality?
Sep 6, 2017
Xavier Gabaix argues that public policies should prioritize alleviating deprivation at the bottom over narrowing the rich-poor gap
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Grantee paper
Where Modern Macroeconomics Went Wrong
Sep 2017
This paper provides a critique of the DSGE models that have come to dominate macroeconomics during the past quarter-century.
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Economic Models That Are Costing Us All
Aug 11, 2017
When an economic model fails, it is reality—and the people living in it—who pay the bills while the model lives on, unscathed.
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The Four Horsemen of the Econopocalypse
Jul 26, 2017
If standard economic theory can’t explain a traffic jam, how can it cope with crises?
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Is Productivity Growth Becoming Irrelevant?
Jul 21, 2017
As the Nobel laureate economist Robert Solow noted in 1987, computers are “everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” Since then, the so-called productivity paradox has become ever more striking. Automation has eliminated many jobs. Robots and artificial intelligence now seem to promise (or threaten) yet more radical change. Yet productivity growth has slowed across the advanced economies; in Britain, labor is no more productive today than it was in 2007.
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America’s Recurring Debt Problem: Are We Approaching a New Tipping Point?
Jun 22, 2017 | 04:30—06:00
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Mexico, NAFTA, and the Future of the North American Economy
May 30, 2017 | 04:00—05:30
A discussion featuring Kenneth Smith, Head of the Trade and NAFTA Office of the Ministry of the Economy of Mexico, and Jay Pelosky, Principal of Pelosky Global Strategies.