Macroeconomics
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Working Paper Series
From the EMS to the EMU and...to China
Nov 2019
This essay deals with the EMS experience and its failure, with the Maastricht Treaty, and with the interregnum leading to the formation of the EMU in 1999.
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Not So Modern Monetary Theory
Oct 31, 2019
Policy hype but vintage fiscal economics from Godley, Lerner, and Keynes
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Working Paper Series
Synthetic MMT: Old Line Keynesianism with an Expansionary Twist
Oct 2019
Policy hype but vintage fiscal economics from Godley, Lerner, and Keynes
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Measuring Economic Democracy
Oct 9, 2019
GDP doesn’t tell the whole story—Robert McMaster explains the Economic Democracy Index
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Secular Stagnation: The Limits of Conventional Wisdom
Oct 1, 2019
Summers and Stansbury mark a dramatic shift from New Keynesian orthodoxy, but only make it halfway to understanding the demand-driven nature of stagnant growth
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Kalecki, Minsky, and “Old Keynesianism” Vs. “New Keynesianism” on the Effect of Monetary Policy
Sep 11, 2019
Mott walks us through answers many careful readers of Kalecki, Keynes, Steindl, and Minsky knew all along.
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Is it Really "Full Employment"? Margins for Expansion in the US Economy in the Middle of 2019
Sep 6, 2019
Many indicators say the US is close to full employment: Hours of work tell a different story.
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Central Banks, Secular Stagnation, and Loanable Funds
Sep 3, 2019
A Comment on Summers and Stansbury
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Summers and the Road to Damascus
Sep 3, 2019
Why Pushing on a String Has Never Worked
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Central Bankers, Inflation, and the Next Recession
Sep 3, 2019
Summers and Stansbury Get It Half Right
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Developing Asia Needs a New Economic Paradigm
Aug 13, 2019
Inadequate demand and climate change require a global green new deal
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Working Paper Series
Firm-Level Political Risk: Measurement and Effects
Jul 2019
We adapt simple tools from computational linguistics to construct a new measure of political risk faced by individual US firms: the share of their quarterly earnings conference calls that they devote to political risks.
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The Myth of Expansionary Austerity
Jul 8, 2019
It was too good to be true: Another effort to vindicate austerity falls victim to flawed methodology.
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Working Paper Series
Expansionary Austerity and Reverse Causality: A Critique of the Conventional Approach
Jul 2019
It was too good to be true: Another effort to vindicate austerity falls victim to flawed methodology.
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A Brief History of Doom
Jun 26, 2019
Richard Vague and Rob Johnson discuss the role of excessive lending in causing financial crises throughout history