Macroeconomics
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Trump, Tariffs, and Exchange Rates: The Message of Elections in the US and Japan
Dec 2, 2024
What Japan, the US, and Europe have in common is growing popular anger over the economy despite high stock prices and low unemployment.
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How the Wall Street Journal Blew the Story of the Democrats and Inflation
Nov 19, 2024
The firehose of affluent consumption continues to drive inflation, not the stimulus package
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INET Research and the 2024 Election
Nov 6, 2024
Ever since 2016, INET researchers confirmed the significance of economic issues in Trump’s ascendency.
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Climate Change and Macroeconomic Models: Why General Equilibrium Models Do Not Work
Oct 28, 2024
The limitations of the benchmark E-DSGE framework and how these limitations restrict the ability of this framework to meaningfully capture the macroeconomics of the climate crisis.
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Woking Paper
Macroeconomic Modeling in the Anthropocene
Oct 2024
Why the E-DSGE Framework Is Not Fit for Purpose and What to Do About It
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The Fed and the “Soft Landing” - Policy or Luck?
Sep 30, 2024
The biggest factor in accounting for the strength in the economy is the continuing importance of the wealth effect in sustaining consumption by the affluent.
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Working Paper
Good Policy or Good Luck? Why Inflation Fell Without a Recession
Sep 2024
A major factor in the decline of inflation is the simple fact that America’s workers were, in general, unable to raise their nominal wages in line with the rise in the cost of living
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A New Era of Endless Labor Shortages? A Critical Analysis of McKinsey's New Report
Jul 15, 2024
The McKinsey report’s highlighting of an extremely high job vacancy ratio in recent years does not reflect the true state of the U.S. labor market.
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The Fed’s “Chicken Run”: Why Sticking with High Rates Will Crash the Economy
Jun 24, 2024
In persisting with its high rates policy, the Fed is acting like James Dean in the famous “chicken run” auto race in Rebel Without a Cause.
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Winning Back the People: The Berlin Summit
ConferenceMay 27–29, 2024
In the global super election year of 2024, populists are threatening to experience a new upswing almost everywhere – whether in the USA, the EU or in East Germany. What makes so many citizens so dissatisfied? What could help win people back and restore their trust in liberal democracy?
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The Second Coming? Trump vs. Biden
May 17, 2024
How have the macroeconomic problems in the US blinded many participants and observers to the actual state of the American economy as the election approaches?
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Working Paper
Trump versus Biden: The Macroeconomics of the Second Coming
May 2024
The current paper returns to the key questions of wages and incomes and how wealth effects cripple reliance on interest rates to control inflation.
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Bernanke and Blanchard’s Obsession with the Wage-Price Spiral
Apr 8, 2024
Bernanke and Blanchard have made another failed attempt to salvage establishment macroeconomics after the massive onslaught of adverse inflationary circumstances with which it could evidently not contend.
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Working Paper
Tilting at Windmills: Bernanke and Blanchard’s Obsession with the Wage-Price Spiral
Apr 2024
How convincing is the model analysis by Bernanke and Blanchard? How empirically relevant are their mechanisms causing inflation – and how robust and plausible are their econometric findings?
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Europe's New Fiscal Rules Harm Working People and Women, Boost Right-Wing Radicals
Apr 5, 2024
Behind bogus promises of job creation and economic growth lies a dangerous agenda to shred social safety nets.