Archive
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Article
Minimum Wages & Job Loss
May 6, 2016
As empirical evidence continues to roll in, can the theoretical orthodoxy continue to hold their ground?
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Article
A Press That Serves the People in a Capitalist Society?
May 5, 2016
A new book by economist Julia Cagé offers a participatory business model for independent media.
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Video
The Discreet Charm of the Bourgeoisie?
May 4, 2016
McCloskey discusses the thesis of her recent trilogy, The Bourgeois Era, which holds that the driving force of economic growth in 17th and 18th century Europe was simply liberal ideas.
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Webinars and Events
Future of Work Industry 4.0 and the Pursuit of Social Innovation
ConferenceMay 4, 2016
Does the technology revolution require a new social policy?
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesOn Historical Household Budgets
May 2016
The paper argues that household budgets are the best starting point for investigating a number of big questions related to the evolution of the living standards during the last two-three centuries.
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Article
The Unfairness of Housing Purchases Through Time
Apr 29, 2016
Amid the ongoing research interest in questions of inequality, it is important to examine the question of access to housing — and how that has changed over the decades. The specific question I have sought to answer, here, is whether the real cost (measured against income) of buying the average home has risen.
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Article
Varoufakis: Star Trek or The Matrix?
Apr 27, 2016
Capitalism will destroy itself, the former Greek finance minister warns, if economic calculation excludes human needs and ignores democratic verdicts
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Video
Equity and Growth Through Knowledge Based Economies
Apr 26, 2016
Benner’s recent work with Manuel Pastor suggests the somewhat counterintuitive result that geographic regions with the most equitable distributions of wealth and influence also tend to have the highest growth.
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Article
Keynes passed away 70 years ago today – his copyright follows
Apr 21, 2016
Keynes passed away 70 years ago today, with his copyright now expiring, there is an opportunity to build a digital archive of all his work
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Article
Why Liberal Economists Dish Out Despair
Apr 20, 2016
Orthodox macroeconomics has become a place where visions die and hopes are banished, for both liberals and conservatives.
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Article
When Economists Attack
Apr 20, 2016
How Gerald Friedman’s assessment of Bernie Sanders economic proposals prompted a rare public political spat among economists.
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Article
The Road not Taken
Apr 19, 2016
Axel Leijonhufvud showed economists a promising path forward. They should have taken it. Leijonhufvud passed away on May 5, 2022
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Article
Three Questions with Dean Corbae
Apr 19, 2016
Dean Corbae is a leader of the Markets network and Professor of Finance, Investment, and Banking at the Wisconsin School of Business, where he also holds an appointment in the Department of Economics. His current research focuses on consumer credit and bankruptcy, foreclosures, and banking industry dynamics.
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Article
The Rise Of The Right-Wing Populist: Back In The Court Of The Banks
Apr 18, 2016
Contrary to common belief, this shift is not so much caused by the refugee crisis, but rather by the historical disaster that followed the big financial crisis since 2007.
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Article
Twitter and the Stock News Echo Chamber that Whips up Volatility
Apr 17, 2016
Anyone watching the stock market has seen this: a post hits Twitter containing old news, and investors react as if it were new.
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Article
Towards a theory of shadow money
Apr 14, 2016
Struggles over shadow money today echo 19th century struggles over bank deposits.
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Article
The Global Consumption and Income Project
Apr 14, 2016
We have developed over a number of years and now make publicly available a new and unprecedented data resource for understanding levels of living, poverty, inequality and inclusivity of growth and development around the world.
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Working Paper
Grantee paperTowards a theory of shadow money
Apr 2016
What does the rise of shadow banking mean for monetary theory and practice? (How) should we change our traditional theories of money to capture the complex practices through which money is created in modern financial systems?
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Video
How do we prevent future financial crisis in emerging markets?
Apr 12, 2016
Should policymakers rely on domestic macroprudential regulation in their quest for greater financial stability?
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Article
Instability & Stagnation in a Monetary Union
Apr 11, 2016
The intra-EMU divergences are a feature of the system rather than just a bug.
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Article
Can ‘matching markets’ concept help Europe manage its refugee crisis?
Apr 11, 2016
European Union countries are facing an epic challenge of integrating more than 1 million refugees from conflict zones in the Middle East and beyond.
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Article
We Stopped Pfizer’s Tax Dodge, Now Let’s End the Buybacks
Apr 8, 2016
Industrial journalist Ken Jacobson and economist William Lazonick (both of the Academic-Industry Research Network), call for an end to stock market manipulation through buybacks.
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Article
In EU budget debates, ‘technocratic’ veil hides political choices
Apr 8, 2016
As the European Union Commission readies itself for a new round of budgetary recommendations, INET senior economist Orsola Costantini warns that that the debate over how those harsh fiscal constraints are to be determined is based on a formula that masks political choices as technocratic imperatives.
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Article
Three Questions with John Eric Humphries
Apr 7, 2016
John Eric Humphries is a member of the Inequality: Measurement, Interpretation, and Policy (MIP) network and a National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellow in the Department of Economics at the University of Chicago. He is the co-author of the book, The Myth of Achievement Tests, The GED and the Role of Character in American Life, along with James J. Heckman and Tim Kautz. Humphries is also a 2013 alum of the Summer School on Socieconomic Inequality.
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Article
Panama: Cheating “Epidemic” Crowds Out Honest Business, Implicates Banks
Apr 6, 2016
Leading expert says Iceland is showing the way on tackling a global peril.
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Article
The Panama Papers: A Tropical Tip of the Hidden Wealth Iceberg
Apr 5, 2016
When billionaires pay less, we all pay more.
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Article
What Happens When America’s Kids Confront Extreme Inequality?
Apr 5, 2016
A new film shows what economic apartheid looks like through the eyes of schoolchildren.
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Article
When Things Fall Apart
Apr 4, 2016
Democratic capitalism is an evolving system that responds to crises by radically transforming both economic relations and political institutions. The time for a new phase has come, regardless of whether “responsible” politicians are prepared to admit it.
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Webinars and Events
Oil, Middle East, and the Global Economy
ConferenceMar 31–Apr 1, 2016
Featuring sessions on Oil Shock and the Global Economy, Sovereign Wealth Funds, and the Political Economy of Oil.
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Article
Blanchard, the NAIRU, and Economic Policy in the Eurozone
Mar 31, 2016
A recent policy brief by Blanchard (2016), based on an earlier paper (Blanchard, Cerutti, Summers 2015) raises a number of interesting points concerning the NAIRU and the Phillips Curve, which are further discussed in the comment on the paper by Ball (2015).
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesLuigi Pasinetti and the Political Economy of Growth and Distribution
Mar 2016
This paper provides a careful and synthetic overview of his contributions as well as a reconstruction of Pasinetti’s philosophical approach to economics as a science meant to serve humanity.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesA Method for Agent-Based Models Validation
Mar 2016
This paper proposes a new method to empirically validate simulation models that generate artificial time series data comparable with real-world data.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesCarbon Emissions and Economic Growth: Production-based versus Consumption-based Evidence on Decoupling
Mar 2016
We assess the Carbon-Kuznets-Curve hypothesis using internationally consistent and comparable production-based versus consumption-based CO2 emissions data for 40 countries (and 35 industries) during 1995-2007 from the World Input Output Database (WIOD).
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Article
A Wake-Up Call on Climate Change and Clean Energy
Mar 30, 2016
A stark warning from Institute researchers on the probability that ‘2°C capital stock’ will be reached in 2017
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Video
China’s Coming Debt Crisis?
Mar 22, 2016
The condition of the Chinese economy is increasingly becoming a significant factor exorcising the minds of global policy makers.
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Article
Understanding the Great Recession
Mar 22, 2016
Some fundamental Keynesian and Post-Keynesian insights, with an analysis of possible mechanisms to achieve a sustained recovery.
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Webinars and Events
New Economic Thinkers Transforming Our World
DiscussionMakers and Takers in the Political Season | A conversation with Rana Foroohar
Mar 20, 2016
The Institute for New Economic Thinking hosts an exclusive luncheon and conversation with Lynn Parramore, Senior Research Analyst at the Institute and Reuters columnist, and Rana Foroohar, TIME Assistant Managing Editor and Economic Columnist, and Global Economic Correspondent at CNN.
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Article
Refugees and The Economy: Lessons from History
Mar 16, 2016
What can we learn from the Vietnamese, Cuban, Rwandan, and Syrian refugees crisis?
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Video
Wealth Inequality in the US and Beyond
Mar 15, 2016
It’s no secret that wealth inequality has grown, both in the US and abroad over the past several decades. What has been particularly notable about the work of Emmanuel Saez is the quantification of that inequality.
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Article
Liquidity Trap & Excessive Leverage
Mar 11, 2016
How excessive debt hurts the economy and why to curb it.
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Article
Marcello de Cecco (1939-2016)
Mar 10, 2016
Paying tribute to one of the world’s most distinguished economic historians.
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Article
New Report on Trans-Pacific Partnership Trade Deal Raises Serious Concerns about Corporate Misalignment
Mar 9, 2016
The Haas Institute for a Fair and Inclusive Society’s report analyzes the Trans-Pacific Partnership and examines the widespread global implications in the event of its passage.
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Article
Different Models, Different Politics
Mar 9, 2016
Gerald Friedman responds to the Romers on the Sanders Plan.
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Article
Politics & Economics Don't Mix
Mar 4, 2016
Jamie Galbraith and I rarely agree. But we agree here.
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Article
Three Questions with Matthew Desmond
Mar 3, 2016
HCEO’s new three-question series will regularly publish quick Q&As with members who will discuss their work, frontiers in the field of inequality that could use more knowledge, and advice for emerging scholars.
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Article
Economic Forecasting Models & Sanders Program Controversy
Feb 26, 2016
The Romer/Romer letter to Professor Gerald Friedman marks a turning point. It concedes that there are indeed important issues at stake when evaluating the proposed economic policies of Presidential Candidate Bernie Sanders. These issues go beyond the political debate and should be discussed seriously between and among professional economists.
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Research Program News
James Heckman honored for his research on poverty
Feb 23, 2016
Nobel laureate James Heckman is one of this year’s recipients of the Dan David Prize, an international honor which encourages innovative and interdisciplinary research, for his scholarship on poverty.
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Video
The Economics of Care
Feb 23, 2016
Nancy Folbre is an American feminist economist who focuses on economics and the family, non-market work and the economics of care. She is Professor Emirita of economics at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, who has written extensively about the economics of care and reciprocity.
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Article
Confusion Is No Response to Economic Orthodoxy
Feb 22, 2016
Servaas Storm has conviction, yet his analysis throws the baby out with the bathwater.
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Article
What is Missing in Flassbeck & Lapavitsas
Feb 22, 2016
More on substance, coherence, and relevance in the Eurozone debate.
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Article
The China Delusion
Feb 18, 2016
The current bout of exchange rate anxiety is really just a symptom of the fact that China’s transition from an export-led growth strategy to one propelled by domestic consumption is proceeding far less smoothly than hoped.
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Video
Capitalism: Competition, Conflict, Crisis
Feb 16, 2016
Exploring the genesis of an important work, one that critiques mainstream neoclassical economics and offers an alternative framework for understanding modern economies.
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Video
The Fundamental Design Flaw of the Eurozone
Feb 9, 2016
From the very start, the European Monetary Union (EMU) was set up to fail.
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Article
Professional Expertise or Politics Driving Economists’ View of Hillary and Bernie?
Feb 9, 2016
Bullet-point financial reform proposals are either too simple or too vague.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesComments on Paul Davidson’s “Full Employment, Open Economy Macroeconomics, and Keynes’ General Theory: Does the Swan Diagram Suffice?”
Feb 2016
This is a response to a critique by Paul Davidson of our 2013 book Keynes: Useful Economics for the World Economy and related work, where we describe, amongst other things, how the Swan diagram can be used to show how economies can use policy tools to achieve internal and external balance.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesFull Employment, Open Economy Macroeconomics, and Keynes’ General Theory: Does the Swan Diagram Suffice?
Feb 2016
This paper provides critical comments on the Peter Temin - David Vines promotion of the basic Swan Diagram as (1) a policy tool to encourage any individual debtor nation experiencing balance of payment deficits to reduce its exchange rate in order to expand exports and reduce imports and (2) the Swan Diagram as a simple model for understanding Keynes’s General Theory for an Open Economy.
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Video
Globalized Finance and the Crisis of 2008
Feb 2, 2016
The world economy is just starting to recover from the most disastrous episode in the history of financial globalisation. Understanding what happened is essential.
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Article
The IMF unlocks billions in aid, but from whom?
Feb 2, 2016
On 25 September 2015, the United Nations General Assembly adopted the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), an ambitious policy agenda that aims to eradicate poverty, in all its forms and dimensions, by 2030.
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Article
Rejoinder to Flassbeck and Lapavitsas
Jan 28, 2016
It is high time to ditch this myth for at least the following five reasons.
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Article
Wage Moderation and Productivity in Europe
Jan 28, 2016
Recently, our analysis has been questioned by Servaas Storm who has claimed that it is untenable to blame neo-mercantilist Germany for driving a wedge into the Eurozone. [i] It is shown below that Storm’s critique has a certain aplomb, but lacks substance.
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Article
Are Economists in Denial About What's Driving the Inequality Trainwreck?
Jan 27, 2016
Today’s richest Americans may soon blow past the tycoons of the Roaring Twenties. Lance Taylor explains why, and what to do about it.
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Video
Innovation and the State
Jan 26, 2016
Economic growth and rising prosperity does not happen at the moment of invention. Only an innovation policy aiming to maximise activities throughout the innovation cycle will succeed in capturing economic growth that enhance the welfare of all citizens.
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Article
Let Them Drink Pollution?
Jan 26, 2016
The tragic crisis in Flint, Michigan, where residents have been poisoned by lead contamination, is not just about drinking water. And it’s not just about Flint. It’s about race and class, and the stark contradiction between the American dream of equal rights and opportunity for all and the American nightmare of metastasizing inequality of wealth and power.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesHousehold Borrowing and the Possibility of “Consumption- Driven, Profit-Led Growth”
Jan 2016
We first show that, with a Kaleckian structure that is consistent with Pasinetti (1962), the relationship between distribution and growth is more robust than conventional wisdom suggests. Next, we extend our model by incorporating borrowing and emulation effects into workers’ consumption behavior, under different assumptions about how debt is serviced.
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Article
Friendly Fire
Jan 20, 2016
Comments on “German Wage Moderation and the Eurozone Crisis: A Critical Analysis” by Servaas Storm
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Collection
Rebuilding Trust
Trust is an essential part of a functioning economy, yet it is often one of the least understood variables in economics. While trust is difficult to understand and measure in the context of economics, this type of innovative work enables new and important conversations about trust and how it affects the economy.
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Video
Relearning History
Jan 19, 2016
Lessons Ignored From the 1930s
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Video
What Tax Records Can Tell Us About Gender Inequality
Jan 12, 2016
Professor Casarico explains why her focus on gender and the “glass ceiling” can help us push forward economic thinking.
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Article
German Wage Moderation and the Eurozone Crisis: A Critical Analysis
Jan 8, 2016
It is high time to look more closely at the labor cost competitiveness myth.
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Article
Start-Up Governments, or Can Bureaucracies Innovate?
Jan 4, 2016
For most economists and indeed for social scientists in general such a question induces shudders as already asking this seems wrong – aren’t governments more prone to failures than markets, and aren’t governments supposed to provide basic and stable institutions for markets to function?
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Webinars and Events
The Institute at ASSA
DiscussionJan 2, 2016
Join us for a reception at the ASSA conference in San Francisco
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016High-Dimensional Statistics for Macroeconomic Forecasting
This project brings new mathematical tools and ideas from high-dimensional statistics to bear on the problem of creating reliable macroeconomic forecasting models.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016The Center and the Periphery: The Globalization of Financial Turmoil
This research project creates a new database of international capital flows from the early 19th century, when London became the financial capital of the world, until 1931, when international capital markets collapsed.
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Grant
Years granted: 2015, 2016Worlds of Political Economic Thought in Twentieth-Century China
This research project explores Chinese economic thought of the 1930s, 1940s, and 1950s, with direct relevance to the present day, and in particular focuses on one specific thinker, Wang Yanan, and the intellectual debates he animated and in which he participated as a major theorist.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016Liquidity and Asset Returns in Times of Turmoil
This research project examines the role of political and social unrest by analyzing their effects on bond and stock markets over the period 1900-2000.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016Becoming “Applied,” Becoming Relevant? Three Case Studies on the Transformation of Economics since the Mid-Sixties
This research project investigates how economists sought to make their science more relevant to real-world issues and policy design from the mid-1960s on, by becoming “applied economists.”
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016Will Household Wealth (Ever) Recover?
This research project focuses mainly on whether the wealth of the United States middle class recovered and whether wealth inequality continued to rise or moderated over the years 2010 to 2013 following the financial crisis of 2008.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016From Innovation to Financial Market Failure: An Anatomy of 18th Century Mortgage-backed Securities
This research project studies the innovation of mortgage-backed securities in the 18th century in order to understand the effects of securitization on financial and real markets.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016Economics, Psychology and the Joyless Economy: The Biography of Tibor Scitovsky
This research project develops an intellectual biography of the Hungarian economist Tibor Scitovsky (1910-2002), who is known primarily for his path breaking 1976 book, The Joyless Economy.
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Grant
Years granted: 2014, 2015, 2016Rising Inequality as a Structural Cause of the Financial and Economic Crisis
This research project investigates whether rising inequality has contributed to the macroeconomic imbalances that erupted in the present crisis, based on a Kaleckian macroeconomic model.
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Grant
Years granted: 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016Economic Sustainability, Distribution, and Stability
This research project focuses on the sustainability of economic growth and implications for distribution, employment, stability, and economic policy.
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Grant
Years granted: 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016A New Tractable Approach for Bounded Rationality in Economics
This research project formulates a new model of bounded rationality, based on the idea that agents will keep a simple, or “sparse,” model of the world.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesUnderstanding the Great Recession
Dec 2015
Some Fundamental Keynesian and Post-Keynesian Insights, with an Analysis of Possible Mechanisms to Achieve a Sustained Recovery
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Article
The Sneaky Way Austerity Got Sold to the Public Like Snake Oil
Dec 22, 2015
A budget approach cloaked in the aura of science and technical jargon became a tool of manipulation.
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Article
U.S. Corporations Don’t Need Tax Breaks on Foreign Profits
Dec 21, 2015
Many Americans have expressed outrage over Pfizer’s plan, through its merger with Allergan, to move its tax home from the United States to Ireland. Now, in a New York Times op-ed, Carl Icahn, the billionaire corporate raider turned hedge fund activist, has joined the chorus. He labels the Pfizer-Allergan deal a “travesty,” blaming the U.S.’s “uncompetitive international tax system.”
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Article
The Scientific Limits of Understanding Complex Social Phenomena
Dec 17, 2015
Since Aristotle the question about the potential relationship between economic inequality and democratic changes has been studied and debated – but scientifically our ability as researchers to assess and understand how such complex social phenomena may be related is much more limited than recognised.
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Video
Who Stole Ireland's Pot of Gold
Dec 15, 2015
Patrick Honohan, Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland, discusses the Irish banking crisis.
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Article
The Gift of Deregulation
Dec 14, 2015
‘Tis the season to celebrate gift giving. But for big banks Santa Claus comes all the time, in the form of handsomely wrapped subsidies and subtly packaged regulatory nuances worth more more gold than the wildest dreams of the Three Wise Men.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesA Theory of How and Why Central-Bank Culture Supports Predatory Risk-Taking at Megabanks
Dec 2015
This paper applies Schein’s model of organizational culture to financial firms and their prudential regulators.
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Article
Renminbi to the Rescue?
Dec 10, 2015
With the RMB in the SDR, careful progression in China could balance the international monetary system.
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Section
The Money View
The idea of this blog is to engage current financial news and policy debates from the standpoint of the classics of monetary theory. We ask, “What would Bagehot say?”, “What would Minsky say?”, “What would Fischer Black say?” Like them, our starting point is the idea that capitalism is essentially a financial system, which means that we need to take a money view in order to understand how it works.
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Article
How Economics and Race Drive America’s Great Divide
Dec 10, 2015
Can education stop the country’s backward slide?
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Video
Invention vs Innovation
Dec 8, 2015
Innovation is not a magic pill to solve the current afflictions that ail our 21st century economy.
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Working Paper
Working Paper SeriesVeiled Repression: Mainstream Economics, Capital Theory, and the Distributions of Income and Wealth
Dec 2015
The Cambridge UK vs USA capital theory debates of the 1960s showed that the workhorse mainstream growth model relies on unsustainable assumptions. Its standard interpretation is not consistent with the last four decades of data.
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Article
The SDR is the Catalyst for China’s Currency Internationalization
Dec 7, 2015
There is a deeper story to be told about the inclusion of the Renminbi.
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Video
Connecting American Foreign Policy to Economic Policy
Dec 7, 2015
How might a reimagined American foreign policy both bolster the domestic economy and help build a 21st-century global economy that works for everyone?
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Article
Global Tax Dodging Just One Part of Pfizer’s Corrupt Business Model
Dec 3, 2015
Why are we paying for corporate behavior that crushes innovation, cheats taxpayers, cost jobs, and heightens inequality?
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Article
Replication and Transparency in Economic Research
Dec 3, 2015
In 2003, McCullough and Vinod wrote, “Research that cannot be replicated is not science, and cannot be trusted either as part of the profession’s accumulated body of knowledge or as a basis for policy.”(1)
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Article
RMB in SDR, Now What?
Dec 2, 2015
“Governments propose, markets dispose,” as Charles Kindleberger liked to say.
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Video
Do Economists Understand the Economy?
Dec 1, 2015
Lance Taylor explains how missing the big picture is too common in the field.