Marshall Auerback

Director of Institutional Partnerships
Institute for New Economic Thinking

Auerback has over 20 years of experience in the investment management business. He served as a director and global portfolio strategist for the Canada-based fund management group Pinetree Capital. He also was head of economic research for Madison Street Partners, a Denver-based investment management group, and he worked as an economic consultant to PIMCO, the world’s largest bond fund management group.  In addition, Auerback is a Research Associate at the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College and a Research Fellow for the Economists for Peace and Security. (http://www.epsusa.org)

Previously, Auerback managed the Prudent Global Fixed Income Fund for David W. Tice & Associates and assisted with the management of the Prudent Bear Fund. He also worked as an international economics strategist for Veneroso Associates, which provided macroeconomic strategy to a number of leading institutional investors. Prior to that, Auerback ran an emerging markets fund for Tiedemann Investment Group in New York. He began his finance career as an investment manager at GT Management, focusing on the markets of Japan, Australia, and the Pacific Rim, while based in Hong Kong and then Tokyo.

Auerback graduated magna cum laude from Queen’s University in Canada and received a post-graduate masters degree from Oxford University.  .

My Content

Today is the day. Today the world will learn the definitive answer as to whether Scotland will remain a part of the United Kingdom or launch the first step toward independence.

The most recent polls seem to indicate a narrow margin of victory for the No side, but it's too close to call, especially given the huge turnout and the size of the youth vote (16 is the voting age minimum for the referendum.)

Alex Salmond, leader of Scotland's independence party and the nation’s First Minister, continues to dig his heels over the question of what currency an independent Scotland would use.  Following a debate in Scotland last week in which he was consistently challenged on the point, Salmond continued to insist that there was "no Plan B," and that nothing could stop a newly independent Scotland from continuing its use of the pound.

A showdown has taken place within Italy’s governing coalition.

Events are still unfolding, but the center-left Democratic leadership has given an explicit thumbs-down to the current government, and former Prime Minister Enrico Letta has resigned.   Matteo Renzi, the leader of Italy’s Democrats, says that he hopes to have his new government ready this weekend after nearly two days of talks with all of Italy’s political parties, and expects to form a coalition largely based on the same left-right alliance that previously supported Letta.

Bubbles have become a major focus of discussion in today's financial markets. But very few people actually define what they mean when describing this financial phenomenon.  

In a recent Harvard Business Review blog post, Markus Brunnermeier, an economist at Princeton University and a member of the Institute for New Economic Thinking’s Advisory Board, had a go at it. Brunnermeier defines the leading characteristics of bubbles thusly:

"Bubbles are typically associated with dramatic asset price increases followed by a collapse. Bubbles arise if the price exceeds the asset’s fundamental value."

The global financial crisis of 2008 created the worst recession in the developed world since the Great Depression. Governments had to respond decisively on a large scale to contain the destructive impact of a massive debt deflation. Still, large financial institutions such as American International Group, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Countrywide Financial, Washington Mutual, Wachovia, Northern Rock, and Landsbanki collapsed. Thousands of small-to-medium financial institutions failed or needed to be rescued. Millions of households lost their retirement savings, jobs, houses, and communities. And numerous non-financial businesses closed.

My Video Content

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Private data is leaked more and more in our society. Wikileaks, Facebook, and identity theft are just three examples. Network defenses are constantly under attack from cyber criminals, organized hacktivists, and even disgruntled ex-employees.

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David Wu, a chartered accountant by training, is also a member of PwC China’s Management Board, and also holds the following leadership roles: China Government and Regulatory Affairs Leader, North China Markets Leader and Beijing Senior Partner. In most western democracies, this would be a standard regulatory position. In a country like China, it's a position considerably more challenging as figures like Wu have to navigate between the tensions inherent in a one-party state which is struggling to aspire toward a more predictable rule of law.

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In a challenge to conventional views on modern monetary and fiscal policy, Professor Bill Mitchell of Newcastle University in Australia has emerged as one of the foremost exponents of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), a heterodox challenge to the prevailing paradigms which dominate how mainstream economics is taught and economic policy implemented.  In his works, and the interview below, Mitchell presents a coherent analysis of how money is created, how it functions in global exchange rate regimes, and how the mystification of the nature of money has constrained governments, and prevented states from acting in the public interest.
 
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The great achievement of the EU has been to reduce the probability of violent nationalist conflict among some of its members to a vanishing small probability while improving the economic lot of its members.  But in spite of the salesmanship surrounding the adoption of the single currency zone, much of this reduction in the propensity toward violence and economic growth took place before the adoption of the euro. It may be time to consider the notion that giving up the euro is a wiser alternative in the long run, unless someone can synthesize some kind of federal option, which hardly seems likely in the current political context.

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One of the conundrums in regard to the recent US midterm elections is the apparent disconnect between the improvement in the unemployment rate—which has dropped below 6 percent—and the fact that so many Americans continue to feel so disillusioned about the economy.  In reality, this election was not about the unemployment rate per se or what any economist says about how the economy is doing. Rather, it was about how Americans feel the economy is doing. The fact is that most Americans do not believe the economy is doing better. Specifically, they do not think their personal economy has yet recovered.